Fewer flights for Africa and the Middle East
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) issued a new, more pessimistic forecast for the aviation industry in Africa and the Middle East – a decidedly negative factor influencing any possibility of an increase in demand for aviation fuel.

IATA said the number of air passengers in the Middle East and Africa at the end of 2020 would be less than a third of the 2019 figure – the forecast issued in July had been 45 % of the 2019 level.

The figure for the Middle East is expected to be 60 million passengers compared to 203 million last year. IATA gave a forecast of 45 million for Africa, compared to 155 million in 2019.

It said it expected the level recorded before the COVID pandemic to be restored no earlier than 2024 in the Middle East and at the end of 2023 in Africa. In 2021, IATA said, Middle East and African carriers would record fewer than half the 2019 figures.

Regional flights have increased since the minimums hit in April, but were still being held in check by limitations on international travel linked to the “second wave” of the pandemic.

A few months ago, we thought that a fall in passenger numbers to 45% of 2019 levels was as bad as it could get. But the second wave, combined with continuing travel restrictions and quarantines, will result in passenger numbers in the region being less than a third of what we had in 2019,” said Muhammad Albakri, IATA’s Regional Vice President for Africa and the Middle East.

“This heightens the urgency for governments to adopt systematic COVID-19 testing to restart travel and curb the economic devastation that is being caused because people cannot travel.

At the moment, residents of only two African countries – Rwanda and Tunisia – are permitted to travel to the European Union. Four African carriers have halted operations because of the pandemic and many others are in serious financial difficulty and need help urgently.

Authorities in Rwanda, Senegal, Ivory Coast and Burkina Faso plan to allocate $311 million in support for carriers. Other governments have promised support for the sector estimated at $30 billion, though the help has not yet been forthcoming.

Three international air transport hubs are located in the Middle East – in Dubai, Abu Dhabi and Doha.

IATA had previously announced that it expected a drop in the number of passengers world-wide of 66 % compared to 2019 levels.

Goldman Sachs said world-wide demand for aviation fuel would climb by 3.9 million bpd by summer 2021 compared to current levels. But experts believe it will take several years for previous passenger numbers and demand for aviation fuel to be restored.


Share on facebook
Share on telegram
Share on email
Share on twitter
Share on vk
Share on odnoklassniki
Share on reddit

Add comments

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Indonesia will build 100 MW floating SPP

Indonesian PT PLN Nusantara Power, the subsidiary of the state-owned energy distributor Persero, announced the tender for building a 100 MW floating solar power station (SPP). The Karangkates project will be implemented at the water reservoir of the dumb with the same name on Java Island.

read more ...

Russian scientists developed new method for breaking oil-water emulsions

The scientists from the V.I. Vernadsky Institute of Geochemistry and Analytical Chemistry of the Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) developed a new method for breaking field oil-water emulsions into water and oil without specialised chemical agents. It helps to receive feedstock for downstream refining or for sales. The research outcomes are published in the Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering.

read more ...


October 2020